DDN-GP: Estimating Regression Predictive Distributions with Missing Data

Authors: Chaoran Pang, Hua Wang, Shikun Tian, Chen Chen, Wu Xu, and Lin Wang
Conference: ICIC 2025 Posters, Ningbo, China, July 26-29, 2025
Pages: 2439-2451
Keywords: Probability Density Estimation, Time Series, Missing Data, Gaussian Processes.

Abstract

Probability density estimation in time series often encoun- ters missing values, which compromise data completeness and usability, making it difficult to accurately estimate distributions and leading to biased results. To address this challenge, we propose a novel probabil- ity density estimation method called DDN-GP, which introduces Gaus- sian Process GP to Deconvolutional Density Networks DDN . This ap- proach uses a nonlinear dimensionality reduction approach, employing GP in the latent space to handle missing input data, and takes advan- tage of DDN to estimate arbitrarily distributed times in time series even with missing output data, ultimately improving both prediction accu- racy and model robustness. We validate DDN-GP on multiple datasets with missing data, and the experimental results demonstrate that our approach enhances predictive performance quantification compared to existing methods.
📄 View Full Paper (PDF) 📋 Show Citation